Wednesday, September 28, 2005
Tuesday, September 27, 2005
Louisiana Pols Waddle Up To The Trough
The Louisiana delegation has apparently devoted little thought to the root causes of the Hurricane Katrina disaster. New Orleans was flooded not because the Army Corps of Engineers had insufficient money to build flood protections, but because its money was allocated by a system of political patronage. The smart response would be to insist that, in the future, no Corps money be wasted on unworthy projects, but the Louisiana bill instead creates a mechanism by which cost-benefit analysis can be avoided. Equally, Katrina was devastating because ill-conceived projects have drained coastal wetlands and caused their erosion, destroying a natural buffer between hurricanes and human settlements. The smart response would be to insist that future infrastructure projects be subject to careful environmental review. But the Louisiana delegation's bill would suspend the environmental review process. Rather than grappling with the lessons of Katrina, Louisiana's representatives are demanding an astonishing $40 billion worth of Corps of Engineers projects in their state. That is 16 times more than the Corps says it would need to protect New Orleans from a Category 5 hurricane.Hat tip to Glenn at Instapundit.
More On Exaggerated Rumors After Katrina
Interestingly, LAT lists its own reporting as having pumped up the hyperbole. It also notes other exaggerated media reports and foolish apparent confirmations by politicians, Mayor Nagin principal among them.
A Slam Dunk For Hitch On The "Peace" Movement
Monday, September 26, 2005
FactCheck.org Lays Waste to MoveOn.org's Latest Broadside
The simple fact is that there is no evidence that any of these people purposely lied. It seems that everyone on the left asserts that "Bush Lied" as a kind of mantra. However not one person who claims they lied is in any position to know the inner thoughts or internal processes of this administration.
The daily media drumbeat of hopelessness on Iraq and differential treatment of Cindy Sheehan and other anti-war activists has now moved public opinion solidly against the war. It is probably too late for the issue to be muddied by facts. One can, however, hope that the real lies will not stand.
TimesSelect - Still Impossible to Access
I finally got a response to my email of Sept. 19, on Sept. 24. It provided detailed instructions for negotiating their registration labyrinth, which I followed religiously, but to no avail.
Today, when one clicks on one of the TimesSelect pieces, the returned screen telling you that you must be a registered user to read the full article now has a link which states," If you have already enrolled in TimesSelect, the site may not be recognizing you correctly. Please click here to reset your information. If you continue to have a problem, check our FAQ."
Needless to say, clicking on the reset link failed, as did clicking on a link in the FAQ pop up window. Reset shmeset. Nothing they try works.
What they need is a redesign that would link the refusal page to a page in which one could enter the relevant user id's and account numbers, have the cookies reset and/or use one's browser to remember the login data for future use. I predict that all their attempts will fail until they finally determine to bite this bullet.
Good News From Ireland
Here, from AFX News, via Forbes Magazine, is a more positive take.
Broussard Tells Russert the Truth
Were we abandoned by the federal government? Absolutely we were. Were there more people that abandoned us? Make the list. The list can go on for miles. That's for history to document. That's what Congress does best, burn witches. Let Congress do their hearings. Let them find the witches. Let them burn them. The media burns witches better than anybody. Let the media go find the witches and burn them. But as I stood on the ground, sir, for day after day after day after day, nobody came here, sir. Nobody came. The federal government didn't come. The Red Cross didn't come. I'll give you a list of people that didn't come here, sir, and I was here.His interview with Russert can be found at Crooks and Liars.
The brouhaha over Russert's intcrystallizestalizes the difference between dealing with people as human beings vs. treating them solely as sources of information. It also shows big media's willingness to go to any ends to preserve their appearance of objectivity and balance.
But So What?
- Thousands of people, the weakest and poorest, were left in that city despite years of planning and ample warning of the coming tragedy.
- Thousands of those were purposely gathered at the Superdome and Convention Center with out adequate pre-positioning of food, water and toilet facilities, and with no adequate plan for rescuing them.
- Despite the fact that the horrors at those two facilities were there for all the world to see, the authorities failed to notice for several days.
Superdome Horrors Grossly Overstated
I further goes on to say that virtually 99% of reports from New Orleans after Katrina of roving gangs, murders, rapes and other horrors were false. Based purely on rumor.
The tragedy for American journalism is that the media reported these claims without any fact checking. Sadly, the story of NOLA as hell hole of criminals will probably persist in perpetuity.
Sunday, September 25, 2005
Like Don't Trust Anyone Under 30, Man
It seems a counter demonstration was mounted by a group of 14 year-olds who held signs reading, "War Is Good". Money quote:
When a police officer started questioning the teens and tried to send them away, some of the anti-war protesters defended the teens' right to be there.
"We were like their mothers, all of a sudden," said Gail Dunkenberger, a 67-year-old Katonah resident. "We said, 'Thank you for having an opinion.' They'll go away with a much more open mind."
Its like a bad acid flashback.Right Wing Hollywood?
A political analyst he is not. In today's lead piece in the Arts and Leisure section he tries to suggest that two current films, "Just Like Heaven", staring Reese Witherspoon, and "The Exorcism of Emily Rose", along with the recent Mel Gibson whip epic, "The Passion of the Christ" mark a rightward swing of the Hollywood studios. No doubt the upcoming "DaVinci Code" will be seen in the same mode.
What these films are, like all films released by the major studios, is an attempt to make money. The former is a romantic comedy in which a man sees his apparently dead girlfriend. "Emily Rose" is an film about possession by the devil, a concept believed in only by orthodox religionists, and lovers of the thrills of the horror movie genre.
Leaving aside the fact that movies with these high concepts have been done for years (The Exorcist and Ghost as only two examples of 32 and 15 years ago respectively), the central conceit of Scott's piece is that these are religious movies. They assert life after death, the existence of the devil, the deity of Christ. These are not right wing concepts, except in Manhattan, they are religious beliefs.
Mr. Scott may have never met anyone self-described as a conservative, or a Republican. This is understandable for a resident of NYC's upscale borough. But the truth is that not all conservatives are religious nuts. Only some are. The usual suspects like Dobson, Falwell, even Bush.
The only non-religious examples Scott provides are "Team America", a cartoon puppet show which mocks Hollywood liberals while it portrays right-wing America bombing the hell out of everyone, and "The Incredibles", another cartoon, which he finds celebrating an "Ayn Randian libertarian individualism and the suburban nuclear family".
Scott seems to be firing an early shot across the bow of a growing juggernaut of cultural analysis that demonstrates that many Hollywood residents and their products are left-leaning. I will not here provide chapter and verse of the documentation of the liberal inclinations of many in the movie business, but let no one use Scott's piece as if it were prima facie evidence of a vast right-wing conspiracy by agents of Haliburton to infiltrate and co-opt the good, caring citizens of La-La-Land.
The truth is that the Hollywood machine wants, more than anything, to make vast piles of money with its blockbuster movies. They it can use the profits from those to make "important" small films that somehow all seem to reveal the evils of capitalism, American power, racism, chauvinism and homophobia.
Maureen Dowd's Vacuousness Revealed on "Meet The Press"
Quoting extensively from today's Meet the Press, Moon God demonstrates the striking emptiness of Dowd's "thought", declaring that she is essentially a nihilist.
I think that viewing her that way grants her more credit than she deserves. It presumes she is capable of adopting any philosophical position. I have long felt that Dowd was free of any serious world view. She is like the prototypical high school girl, leader of a clutch of hangers on, who defends her own insecurity by declaring the uncoolness of everyone else in the school. Dowd's columns are nothing more than facile labeling and name calling, always with an undertone of the serene cool of some adolescent ice goddess.
Dowd is no more a follower of Dadaism than the German Nihilist Kidnappers in "The Big Lebowski".
In Iraq, Sunni Clerics Speak Out Against Al- Qaida
Saturday, September 24, 2005
Raleigh N.C. County Schools Report Big Jumps in Test Results, Credit Economic Integration
The results have been quite impressive.
"In Wake County, only 40 percent of black students in grades three through eight scored at grade level on state tests a decade ago. Last spring, 80 percent did. Hispanic students have made similar strides. Overall, 91 percent of students in those grades scored at grade level in the spring, up from 79 percent 10 years ago."
The logic of this approach is persuasive:
"Low-income students who have an opportunity to go to middle-class schools are surrounded by peers who have bigger dreams and who are more academically engaged," said Richard D. Kahlenberg, a senior fellow at the Century Foundation who has written about economic integration in schools. "They are surrounded by parents who are more likely to be active in the school. And they are taught by teachers who more likely are highly qualified than the teachers in low-income schools."
The approach may not have universal application, since many, if not most, school districts are city or town specific. In such districts often the cities have large volumes of poor kids and better off kids predominate in suburbs. A lawsuit in Connecticut, known as the Sheff case, sought to address this problem, but has so far not invalidated the local control of the schools, a necessary step to promote statewide or regionwide integration. Sheff, in any event, deals only with racial integration and would not necessarily achieve economic integration.
My only question relates to an important statistic missing from the Times story. While the performance of Black children, Hispanic children and all children improved, what happened to the performance of white children? Did they also improve, stay the same or decline? This is an essential piece of information to allow readers to evaluate the full issue but is curiously missing in the Times.
Bush Haters Engage in Rumor Mongering
It is only a matter of time until some brave reporter, let's say David Gregory, asks the President if the "reports" are true. I'll give it a week.
Enquiring minds want to know.
The good news is that the vast majority of voting age Americans really only care about the breakup of Renee Zellwegger and Kenny Chesney. The really important stuff.
ANSWER Anti-War Rally Underway
Ramsay Clark, looking rather decrepit, apparently believes that the impeachment of George Bush is actually a possibility, to large cheers by the crowd. He also called for a 90% cut in the Defense Department budget as the,"only way for there to be peace in the world." You can't make this stuff up.
Update: Here's Gateway Pundit's longer blog on the A.N.S.W.E.R. rally.
Hillary To Vote No On Roberts
The political calculus seems clear. Following the advise of her husband, no slouch at reading the electorate, Sen. Clinton is now focusing on being re-elected to the Senate as her first priority. If she loses to her likely opponent, Westchester County D.A. Jeanine Pirro, there can be no presidential run.
In the NY election, the support of women's and other liberal activist groups is crucial. If she voted for Roberts they might have only provided luke warm support. She can only guarantee such support by distinguishing herself from the other strong woman in the race on the Repbublican side.
Once the Senate election is over expect Hillary to tack immediately to the right. Having cemented her credentials with the liberal groups essential to victory in the Presidential primaries, she will desperately need to appear unthreatening to the vast middle.
Besides, two years from now no one will even remember anyone's vote in the Roberts nomination.
Friday, September 23, 2005
Gen. Honore Emerging Star of Hurricane Season
We Don't Need No Stinkin' Budget Cuts
Jessep: You want budget cuts?
Kaffee: I think I'm entitled to them.
Jessep: You want them?
Kaffee: I want the cuts!
Jessep: You can't handle the cuts! Son, we live in a world that needs quasi-public goods. And those needs have to be funded by men in Congress. Who's gonna do it? You? You, Lt. Weinberg? I have a greater responsibility than you can possibly fathom. You weep for small government and you curse the ballooning deficit. You have that luxury. You have the luxury of not knowing what I know: that big government, while tragic, probably enriched some lives. And my existence, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, enriches some lives...You don't want the truth. Because deep down, in places you don't talk about at parties, you want big government. You need big government.
Thursday, September 22, 2005
CNN's Hurricane Coverage Is Nauseating
Blitzer was worked into a lather about the traffic jams headed north out of Houston. How would these poor people ever get out!
Hey Wolf, the storm is not scheduled to hit land for almost 35 hours. Screaming about the crowding of the roads only serves to scare those left in the city and convinces them to sit tight, thereby risking a late, perhaps too late departure.
As for Jack Cafferty, he has apparently decided that the southbound roads should have been turned into northbound routes yesterday. He was screaming about the incompetence of officials who were failing their citizens.
Meanwhile, he was only able to find emails that bashed Bush in the presumption that Texas would be handled magnificently since it is his home state and home to the oil interests.
These guys received an enormous amount of good ink for their righteous indignation over the demonstrable failures in NOLA and they have apparently decided to employ this blunt instrument to save coastal America from any recurrence of that event.
The fact that their ratings might also go up when they behave like guests on the Jerry Springer Show has, I'm sure not entered the equation. I fear we are witnessing a further deterioration of what used to be a profession called journalism.
TimesSelect Still Not Operative
As a home delivery subscriber I am supposed to be able to obtain access at no cost. After days of failed attempts, I successfully registered on Monday, the first day of the new regime, but didn't get back a screen confirming it as the timed out after two minutes. My suspicion is that I should have received a cookie identifying me as a registered user. Subsequent attempts to register lead me to a screen advising that I am already registered and cannot register again. Yet, when I attempt to access a TimesSelect piece, I am advised that I must register and this screen provides no place to sign in manually. The classic locale between a rock and a hard place.
One call to the Times produced a suggestion that I reboot my computer to clear the cache. Did it, but it didn't fix the problem. Then, following a suggestion found on the web, I signed on to the Times website using my email as user ID. That didn't work.
An email to the Times last Sunday, which promises a reply in 24 hours has yet to produce a reply.
Then I called the Times again, yesterday afternoon, as was advised that a supervisor would have to call me back to "walk you through the process." As of this afternoon, no such call.
Frankly, I give up. I'll focus on the vast array of free opinion columnists out there. I really feel sorry for the 500 Times staffers who are losing their jobs, but clearly the Times' management is not up to the challenge of the new media environment.
Judiciary Committee Vote on Roberts
That leaves Schumer and Durbin. Schumer will definitely vote No. He cannot afford to anger the pro-abortion interests in New York. Although I'm less familiar with the atmosphere in Illinois, my guess is that Durbin, one of the most liberal of Senators will also vote No.
Thus seven out of ten Democrats will have approved the nomination of possibly the most reasonable, non-dogmatic justice they could possibly have expected from this President. I'm betting that Bush will go for broke in the next nominee and make no attempt to mollify the Democrats. Why should he? He gained virtually nothing from the effort. All he needs to avoid is such a radical nomination that the Dems will filibuster and all 45 Dems stick together.
Mickey Kaus On The Failures Of Traditional Coalition Liberalism
Unions are less a part of the solution now. Rather they are part of the problem.
Wednesday, September 21, 2005
The Utility of Cursing
It became a badge of our assumed manhood to sprinkle our language with profanities. But such words were not for mixed company. Women were then treated as a more decent, clean branch of the human race. Of course, regular beatings in Catholic school helped enforce the badness and dirtiness of these words in our minds.
Today's NY Times has an interesting piece on several studies about cursing that have recently been published. Much of the gist of these studies is that cursing serves the purpose of venting anger and thereby avoiding violence. There are also suggestions that the free exchange of forbidden words among the members of a group serves as a kind of binding mechanism. If people are free to use any words with one another, they are expressing their togetherness and openness with one another.
In my first post-college job as a welfare caseworker, most of my coworkers were women. I clearly remember my shock at the open, casual and almost universal use of four letter words. My experience would seem to verify that in the face of the high pressure burdens of large caseloads of very needy people, a group of workers from all religious and ethnic backgrounds will seek comfort and release in the shared violation of a social norm.
Shock soon melted into a joyful acceptance in this shared badness. It felt good. It did reduce internal conflict and it allowed us to blow off the stress of our jobs and keep coming back for more.
The Times also provides the political context for this issue, which is the bill currently in the Senate that would fine broadcast stations and broadcasters up to $500,000 for the use of so called obscenities on the air. This is one of the disturbing trends of our growing nanny state. In this case Republicans, seeking to pander to their religious supporters appear willing to further supress free expression. Will the person who recently told V.P. Chenney to, "go fuck himself", be subject to a fine for offensive speech in a newly purified America? I hope not.
One group trying to mount an opposition to this kind of nonsense is TV Watch. Check out their website and sign up if you agree.
Blogging "Lost" Continued II
Interesting and promising decision to basically give viewers the answer to most of the first season's question about what the Island is, or appears to at least. The promise is that much more fleshing out of details and twisting and turning of the plot lies ahead for us to enjoy.
One question occurs. If I'm not mistaken, the Quarantine sign was inside the hatch, indicating that whatever is outside the underground bunker is being labeled as quarantined. That would make the underground guy a kind of monitor for whoever created this quarantine space for the unnamed "it" on the Island. Also, it appeared that the ladder visible at the top of the entry hatch did not extend all the way down when Kate fell. That would imply that there was some sort of elevator mechanism to bridge the gap between the bottom of the hole and the bottom of the ladder.
Here we go, off again down the rabbit hole that will make me really hate the repeats when ABC begins dropping them in as a way of "extending" the season. And, here's hoping that we end this season at a place none of us will have anticipated.
Blogging "Lost" Continued
Back to flashback land. Mercifully brief, but how did shots of Jack in an ER inform Locke's question about why he is afraid to go into the hatch?
The hell with blogging scene by scene. Back with thoughts after the show.
Blogging "Lost"
I'm now watching the review pre-show, which seems to be focusing on the backstory segments of the show. I must say that these have always been the least satisfying part of the show for me. One tolerates it because, in the first season, viewers need to get to know who these survivors are. But as the second season develops, I would hope to see less and less of these flashbacks.
If the writers cannot develop sufficiently interesting stories on the Island, with all its weird accoutrements, I will be upset. It will be a failure of imagination.
Here's hoping for a good opening for season two.
Stupid Bush Decisions of the Day, II
Following hard on the heels of l'affair Brownie, this is another foolish abuse of the hiring procedures at the Department of Homeland Security. Is Chertoff a willing accomplice, or is he asleep at the wheel?
My objection is not about this kind of cronyism as such, it is among the highest traditions of the political craft. Tammany Hall and the Chicago Dalys are two prime exemplars of its highest achievements. It is just that these people don't seem to understand that the security of the country now depends on the competent management of the Department of Homeland Security.
Stupid Bush Decisions of the Day, I
This has nothing to do with child porn or anything in the exploitive nature of porn. It is all about putting a group together who will be forced to look at piles of porn to try to find examples that will make a case for the violation of some community's standard of decency. No doubt there are places in America, say Greenville, South Carolina, home of Bob Jones "University", where most of what passes for advertising in glossy magazines would offend their sense of propriety.
This choice by A.G. Gonzales demonstrates the administration's willingness to sacrifice focus on important issues to pander to what it believes to be its base. If I were in Congress I would worry that these people are off the hook now that reelection is not an issue W, Carl and Co.
How Long Till This Piece Finds Its Way Into The Left Side of the Blogosphere?
It will be intersting to see if this morphs into a new "truth" about the evils of the Administration.
Monday, September 19, 2005
The Progressive Gospel on Katrina
No where is there any mention of a State or local responsibility for disaster planning. Only the Federal government exists in Dreier's world view and only New Deal level of Federal effort will suffice. Poverty, Dreier implies, would have been erased if only government would answer his question:
"What responsibility, if any, does the federal government have to provide Americans with decent housing, access to health care, and opportunities for work that pays a living wage?"
No mention of the entrenched culture of poverty exacerbated and perpetuated in New Orleans and elsewhere by progressive local governments. No mention of substance abuse, failing local schools, subcultures which devalue achievement and the countless other factors that impact on the persistence of poverty.
One has the feeling that Dreier has been preaching this sermon since the close of the Johnson Administration and, no doubt, getting "amens" from the choir.
From Our "Friends" in Egypt
Just When You Thought It Was Safe To Type Out Cybersex Emails...
Is nothing sacred?
Another Gem From The Onion
Mississippi Tacking Care of Business in Absence of FEMA
Hat tip to Andrew Sullivan and one of his annoymous correspondents.
NY Times Rediscovers Poverty
"In the last 10 years in New York City, according to the Fire Department, there have been nearly 317,000 of what are known as structural blazes, including apartment fires. Nearly 1,400 people have died in these fires, and tens of thousands have been dispossessed."
The Times however reported on barely any of them. So in one of its infrequent expeditions into the foreign territory of far away Washington Heights it examines the immediate aftereffects of an apartment fire.
The stories headline appears to have determined the tack the story would take. It reads, "Homeless After a Fire, And Feeling Overlooked in Katrina's Shadow."
If read carefully, the story reports that victims feel anxious about their belongings, identification, public assistance benefit cards, etc., which is perfectly understandable. They, or the reporter, are also worried that the Red Cross will not be as responsive as it otherwise would be because of its involvement in Katrina recovery. However, the local manager of the Red Cross, the State public welfare officials assert that all their immediate needs will be met within one day.
Of course, like anyone who experiences a tragedy, the victims wish that in the best of all possible worlds they could be made whole tomorrow. Sadly that can never be the case when disaster occurs. While it is also true that the poor need more help from government and NGO's than those who suffer a fire in the West Village, those forms of assistance are here and are available.
The entire piece is a non-story prompted, it seems, by the reawakening of the Times to the presence of poverty in Manhattan. Or perhaps the editors were in part motivated by a review of the weekend edition's advertising and the Arts, Bookreview and Style sections of the paper, which pander to its principle clientele, the very comfortable citizens of Manhattan and its tonier suburbs.
TimesSelect Continuing Technical Problems
This long-planned exercise in bad judgment has now had the worst implementation of any major new internet initiative in memory.
Sunday, September 18, 2005
Louisiana Homeland Security Under Indictment
"For instance, a Nov. 30, 2004, report by Tonda L. Hadley, a director in the Denton field office, examined $40.5 million sent to the Louisiana agency, mostly for the Hazard Mitigation program. The report found that the state's emergency office did not have receipts to account for 97% of the $15.4 million it had awarded to subcontractors on 19 major projects."
They also note:
"The day before the report was issued, the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Western District of Louisiana obtained an indictment against Michael L. Brown, deputy director of the Louisiana office of emergency preparedness. (Brown is no relation to former FEMA director Michael D. Brown who resigned this week.) Louisiana's deputy director oversaw the state's Hazard Mitigation program. Brown was charged with conspiring to obstruct the inspector general's investigation and for making a false statement to a federal investigator. Michael C. Appe, another senior state agency official, also was charged with obstructing the audit. Months earlier, Appe had been appointed as head of a "surge team" to review projects funded with FEMA money. The team's mission was to help spot abuses."
As could be expected, whenever there are millions of dollars floating around, the scum bags will come out of the woodwork. What can we expect will occur to the fortunes in public and private funds about to descend on the Gulf coast.
Can't Register for the NY Times "TimesSelect"
For the last four days I have attempted unsuccessfully to register. Each time an apparent system glitch fails to complete the process. Today a call to the 866 number frustrated subscribers are referred to confirmed that the, "system is down." I was asked to try back in a few hours and assured they were working on the problem. What happened? Did the Times use FEMA to help with their own mini-disaster recovery? Will heads roll, or will the Times show Bush-like loyalty to its computer staff?
Frank Rich Has Reached a New Low
In today's piece in the Times, Rich crafts yet another of his endless show business analogies, which substitute in his world for logic. This time it is Toto's exposure of the Wizard of Oz as a mortal man. Here is the money quote:
"The worst storm in our history proved perfect for exposing this president because in one big blast it illuminated all his failings: the rampant cronyism, the empty sloganeering of "compassionate conservatism," the lack of concern for the "underprivileged" his mother condescended to at the Astrodome, the reckless lack of planning for all government operations except tax cuts, the use of spin and photo-ops to camouflage failure and to substitute for action."
Note that buried in the middle of his short, undocumented, litany is a reference to Bush's mother's condescending statement at the Astrodome. Clearly it was condescending, but since when did we hold any adult children accountable for the utterances of their parents. Not only is Bush assumed to share his mother's views, but Rich lists it as if it were plainly the President's own feeling.
Was Jimmie Carter held accountable for all of Miss Lillian's statements? If mother's are now fair game, how about siblings. Does anyone recall Rich holding Presidents Carter and Clinton accountable for the shenanigans of brothers Billie and Roger? I doubt it.
Are there no limits to the bag of tricks, substituting for thought, that will be used in the name of Bush-Hating? I pray for Mr. Rich's sake that no moron out there tries to hold him accountable for any foolishness by elderly members of his family. It would be equally immoral. He has plenty to account for of his own doing. As does Mr. Bush.
Friday, September 16, 2005
Accurate Hurricane Katrina Timeline
My only continuing question about this sad train of events relates to the report (only one AP report is sited) of roving bands of armed looters, who Mayor Nagin ordered the police to deal with instead of continuing their search and rescue efforts. There has been much scattered reporting of snipers and other forms of gunfire, but, to my eye, precious little solid documentation. I smell rumors run amok, but only later investigations will be able to establish the facts. And it should be noted that Factcheck.org did not find enough credibility to these reports, other than Mayor Nagin's statement and order to his police, to publish them in this timeline.
Predicting the Judiciary Committee Vote
They have been unable to "Bork" him on any of the issues. Despite what were probably months of effort to find some dirt with which he could be "Thomased", they are left with only a vague feeling of distrust because of Roberts' unwillingness to declare himself a closet liberal.
The real fight will be over the next nomination. The NARAL ad campaign was only a taste of what is to come. The left came out with guns blazing when it seemed that Roberts would be replacing the swing vote of Justice O'Connor. When Rehnquist had the bad manners to die on them it was too late to pull their punches. If the Democrats vote against the moderate sounding Roberts, they will have no credibility with the public once they start crying wolf about the next nominee.
The Roberts Nomination
As for the Senators, their endless capacity, on both sides of the isle, for bloviating, pompousness and dullness is astounding. For me the signal moment came on the last day following one of the panels of witnesses. Joe Biden, whom I have previously admired, if not always agreed with, chose to react by remonstrating his audience about the tragedy caused by judges who would deprive the poor, the sick, the victimized and downtrodden of their right to sue a state that failed to implement rules attached to Federal funding correctly. He rose to theatrical heights of passion.
The problem, which anyone who listened to the prior days of the hearings would have learned, is that courts only rule that individuals have no right to sue because some laws, not all, do not include a specific declaration that makes this remedy available. As Roberts said, and it was unchallenged, the Congress can fix this problem by simply including a sentence of the appropriate language in all relevant legislation.
Sen. Biden, it appears, would rather devoted all his passion and energy to keeping such nefarious judges off the bench, rather than adding simple boilerplate language to legislation. He seemed foolish while actively kissing up to the advocacy groups represented in front of him at the time.
Wednesday, September 14, 2005
The Costs of Government Rise, The Number of People Shrinks
We may be spending vastly more money, but I think that we may have now reached a point where the essential functions cannot be carried out by the shrunken workforce. On the civilian side we see failures of security and emergency response. On the military side, our forces can't subdue and control the situation in Iraq. Where is the ground swell for growing the size of our forces in a post Cold War world? They barely exist. Is Rumsfeld trying to make do with an inadequate force because he just enjoys the challenge, or is he trying to do the best he can with inadequate resources?
Politicians like DeLay take great pride in "cutting" bureaucracy and reduced Defense spending, but spend like drunken sailors in projects that they can show as pouring fortunes into their constituencies. Policy in our republic is determined by re-election concerns at all levels, not by concepts of rational planning and management.
The Size of the Federal Government
A graph of these figures looks like this:Sorry for the small size, but it's the largest Blogger permits. The bottom axis shows, left to right, the years 1962 - 2005. The number of Federal Civilian employees per one thousand of the total population is shown on the left axis. The scale is from 8.0, at the bottom to 16.0. at the top.
At least for the Federal Government, how are so few employees to keep their fingers, figuratively, in the dike when they are required to maintain such a growing flood of requirements.
It is easy to blame and fire a few managers or employees each time a failure becomes known. But perhaps the fault, dear Brutus, is not in our employees, but in ourselves.
Is Government Capable of Succeeding?
These failures of government to perform the basic tasks force one to ask if the government is in fact any longer capable of performing the essential core tasks of any civil society. Has modern government become so metastasized that it is overwhelmed by the sheer detail in a futile attempt to do it all? As if it all had equal importance.
Surely the lobbyists, advocates, Congress members and their staffs, bureaucrats, regulation writers, lawyers, journalists, etc. would, and do, spend their lives insisting that every jot and tiddle of every law, regulation, hearing and report issued is vital to America. Like all of us, these people need to think that their work is important. And, in modern America we have all become very skilled in demanding attention to our point of view.
Life in general is vastly more complex today than in the past. The requirements of government are no less so. (Just look at the daily book-sized issuance of new and proposed regulations that is the Federal Register) Can we continue to grow in complexity and accomplish it all without vastly growing the number of employees doing these tasks? Can we focus ourselves on the truly valuable tasks and accept less than perfect, even shoddy, attention to the lesser ones? Who and how would the truly valuable tasks be identified? Is consensus on such things beyond us as a society?
Just asking.
Failure to Act on Pre-9/11 Warnings
"American aviation officials were warned as early as 1998 that Al Qaeda could "seek to hijack a commercial jet and slam it into a U.S. landmark," according to previously secret portions of a report prepared last year by the Sept. 11 commission. The officials also realized months before the Sept. 11 attacks that two of the three airports used in the hijackings had suffered repeated security lapses."
The report does not go on to specify the source(s) of the information or the names of the two airports in question.
Tuesday, September 13, 2005
Media Matters Obsession With David Brooks
Their chief complaint seems to be that Brooks hasn't written about this in the NYT, and that he has only spoken about it on Chris Mathews Sunday show. Anyone want to guess the relative size of Mathews' audience compared to the readership of the OpEd page of the Times?
Just for the record, Brooks has in fact written about this issue in his inaugural column in the Times, according to Daniel Drezner. The original Brooks column is archived by the Times, and only available at a price.
45 Found Dead In New Orleans Hospital
Friday, September 09, 2005
Mark Helprin, Required Reading
Key quote: "Ceaselessly, we court strategic error. At the end of the Cold War, assuming that history had concluded, we discarded too much military power. This continues through the present, rationalized by reference to transformation. But it is yet further error to believe that military-technical evolution can make up for the kind of deficiencies and poor strategic judgments from which no machine can save an army. Continual and remarkable innovation is both indispensable and expensive, but President Clinton required budgetary choice between innovation and everything else, and his successor has yet to disagree. The root of the error that offers transformation as a substitute for so much that is crucial is the conviction that having both would exceed reasonable military expenditures and somehow break the common weal.
Having made many wrong choices, we find ourselves at yet another strategic crossroads, where invisibly to the general public we are about to choose wrongly again. We are reshaping the military into a gendarmerie, configured for small wars, counterinsurgency, peacekeeping and nation-building, all at the expense of the type of force that could deter or defeat a rising China. Although we need a gendarmerie, we cannot do without heavy formations and the many additional ships required for a navy--now less than half the size of the Reagan fleet and shrinking--to exploit our natural advantage in the Pacific."
Check it out. It is a piece of public thought of a kind rarely witnessed these days.
Sen. Landrieu Lashes Out
Politics poisons everything in this tragedy.
Thursday, September 08, 2005
Rebuilding New Orleans
1. New Orleans Must Be Rebuilt:
It is the seedbed of American music and much of its popular culture. Its unique French/Creole sub-culture of Mardi Gras, Burbon Street, ragtime, Mardi Gras Indians, the Napoleonic Code, Stanley Kowalski, all of it, is a treasure of the American nation.
It must be preserved.
2. No one should live below sea level unless absolute super-engineering of levees, canals, etc, guarantees no flooding in the face of a Category 5 Hurricane. Such guarantees would not be worth the paper they are written on.
In last Sunday's NY Times, Jason DeParle had an excellent piece on the inevitable preponderance of poor and black people left behind to suffer and John M. Barry laid out the history of the city's fruitless flood prevention efforts, which have only exposed it to further danger by destroying the protective delta silt deposits of the Delta after the last great flood of 1927.
If the low lying neighborhoods of what has been New Orleans are allowed to be repopulated, does anyone believe they will now fill with gentrifying yuppies? Only poor blacks will end up living in these tenuous sections while the soil of the city continues to sink at the rate of one half inch per year. An unconscionable outcome.
3. The only solution is to preserve the French Quarter, the riverfront and the highrise business district and to expand the building of sturdy steel and concrete multistory buildings into the flood plain. Local code must assure that essential electric, water and other infrastructure be redesigned to withstand the floods which will surely come. If those areas and new buildings are to be housing that will retain the socioeconomic patterns that were the city, permanent, assurable evacuation, transportation and sheltering mechanisms must be in place, regardless of the city's fiscal issues or political turnover.
The cost of rebuilding New Orleans will be great. The cost to our souls of simply reestablishing expendable wood frame ghettos would mean the end of America as an honorable nation. I, for one, have no desire to ever see in my lifetime a repeat of such a disgraceful failure of foresight that makes me feel ashamed of my country.
Get Rid of Michael Brown
Bush clearly screwed up when he hired an unqualified hack such as Brown to run FEMA. It was especially unconscionable in a post 9/11 world where horrid emergencies will surely need managing. I don't care about the future of the Republican party at all, but I am convinced that unless Bush begins to behave like he actually was in charge of this government soon, we will have a Democratic Congress come 2006. Considering the Democrats complicity in sucking up the pork and thereby diverting funds from essential projects like the N.O. levees, electoral success is not something that they deserve either.
More important than any elective considerations, the good of the nation demands that someone solid, dare I mention the name Rudy Giuliani, be put in charge. Brown must go.
Incredible Photos of N.O. Before, During and After Katrina
Apparently he lived and worked in the Quarter. Check it out.
Wednesday, September 07, 2005
Local Planning Failures in New Orleans
I was an administrator for local government in the area of the Indian Point Nuclear Plant. The local county, city and towns have developed extensive plans, rehearsed and updated regularly, to evacuate the area in case of a problem at the plant. These plans specifically deal with evacuation routes, buses being mobilized for those without transport, pre-set routes and bus stops. Children and the sick and elderly are given special attention in these plans. Relocation sites, health, food, water, shelter, all are accounted for.
Arguably, a failure of a nuclear plant is unlikely. It is certainly not the absolutely predictable tragedy we have now witnessed in New Orleans. It is also probable that any plan will not be carried out as neatly as envisioned in the abstract. But in New Orleans the local government apparently had a plan and then ignored it, no doubt in part because the city was abandoned by many of the first responders, who were probably seeing first to the safety of themselves and their families, also an absolutely predictable event in cities where, for political reasons, employees must live within city limits.
The size of any response required by state and Federal entities, once an emergency has occured, is directly proportional to the competence of the planning and the actual evacuation. Resolution of this in future will require public assessment of local planning, especially in New Orleans and Los Angeles (the next most likely site of a tragedy). It is crucial that this assessment be done in a way that will achieve the trust of the public in their objectivity. They must be politics free.
Monday, September 05, 2005
New Orleans Aftermath
Let's watch how we decide to rebuild New Orleans. Do we take the easy route and simply restore the city as it was, sinking half an inch a year and facing accelerated deterioration of the protective Mississippi Delta. (Thanks to WRETCHARD at The Belmont Club, here and here.) Or do we come to a truly courageous combination of restoration, radical redesign and protective enhancements that will allow the Big Easy to live into the forseeable future. We'll see.
Thursday, September 01, 2005
New Orleans, The Recriminations Begin
The cable networks, who yesterday focused on the looting, are now raving about shots being fired at helicopter, hospital staff and police. The probability is that one or two shots were in fact fired and are now ricocheting through the media. It appears, regretibly, that these rumors are impacting the rescue response, providing an excuse for slowing it further.
Why would anyone shoot at a chopper? I can only think of two reasons: madness and fear that the authorities are coming to raid someones cache of looted property. Both seem unlikely and can surely not be widespread.
The political lunatics are poking their heads up the usual suspects (Bush from the left and probably soon Clinton from the right) for the entire mess. As if a category 4 - 5 huricane smacking right into a city of nearly 1 million situated largely below sea level could produce anything but awful results. This has been known since the city of New Orleans was settled by large numbers of people over a century ago. Lets blame it on Millard Fillmore.
David Brooks touches on the truth of this tragedy in today's piece. Those with the mental, physical and financial resources got out. Those without these resources are left to suffer. Sadly, as is all too often the case, those left behind were black and poor.
Lastly, the Astrodome is a very bad idea for a refugee center. No arena has plumbing that can survive the 24/7 onslaught by a small city's worth of people. Long lines and breakdowns are going to be constant.
As for the space, looking at the TV shots of cots spread close together on the floor of the Astrodome, they do not appear to be anywhere near the number needed to sleep tje 25,000 people who are supposedly coming from the Superdome. I was unable to find any reference on the web to the square footage of the Astrodome floor, but if a cot is 3x6 or 18 square feet, then 25,000 would require 450,000 square feet, without allowing for any necessary space for movement, or to allow some minimum space between people. Assuming the floor is a rectangle, which it is not, it is oval, that would be a dimension of about 900 x 500 feet, the length of 3 football fields, not counting end zones. The width would equal the width of almost 10 fields. In fact, the floor only holds one football field and a bit more.
I would guess that the floor space will only accomodate no more than 10,000 - 12,000 people. Probably a good deal less when you consider that people will be living cheek by jowl for months.
Are the authorities in Texas now preparing to forward buses full of refugees to alternate sites. How many are available? Are the refugees being told what to expect? Is anybody out there looking at the whole picture? Not so's you'd notice.
Shooting Off My Big Mouth
The golf reference is to the Riviera Country Club in L.A., which Ben Hogan made his own in 1948. The Fred Allen reference is to a recurring bit on his weekly radio show, which I am too young to remember, but which my father loved, in which Allen would "interview" a sequence of regional stereotypes in a comical attempt to take the pulse of the country.
My intent with this blog is to try to think out loud about world events, films, photography, music, books and anything else that catches my fancy. In this way I hope to get things off my chest in a way that someone else can read and react to, thereby helping to refine my thinking. If these musing also provide food for thought for others, so much the better.
Update: Hogan's Alley also refers to a Nintendo game from the 80's and a FBI training site. The game, which is the most common hit on Google, involves bad guys popping up in order to be shot by the player, or trainee at the FBI's Quantico facility. While I was not aware of this reference when I chose a name for this blog, it too may be a suitable metaphor for what I will attempt to do here.